February 21st, 2008 18:37 EST
Can't Surprise Anyone in Russian Elections
March 2nd, Russia will elect a new president for the next four years.
Now, there are four candidates " Dmitry Medvedev (United Russia), Vladimir Zhirinovsky (Liberal Democratic Party), Gennady Zuganov (Communist Party) and Andrey Bogdanov (Democratic Party).
Zuganov and Zhirinovsky are veterans of any Russian elections " they have been in politics since the formation of Russian Federation as ademocratic state with many parties. They took part in earlier presidential elections and lost. This time " some magazines like Russian Newsweek " wrote " they will take part only to make an appearance of legal elections.
Because it`s necessary to have some candidates-- not only one-- to make elections in democratic country.
Even together, they will gather such few voices, that it will not allow them to get over the 50% barrier. And there`s no talk about another candidate " A. Bogdanov. The prognosis says he`ll take less than 1% of voices.
And I think there will not again show in bulletins a column against all ". It`s very expensive to allow people to damage the bulletins " it`s better if they give their voices to someone. In spite of that, against all " is an opinion, too.
This time, probably, people will vote not for specific candidate, as they did four years before (most of them voted for V. Putin as a person). This time, they will vote for the course which Putin gave our government, and the representative of the party back this course up. So people will vote for Medvedev. And everyone knows the results of these elections.
The worst thing in Russian democracy is the predominance of one party and an absolute absence of strong opposition. Now there is only one party which has the majority in parliament " United Russia " 63%.
Other parties divided the voices at elections 2.12.2007 between each other, and it was pretty difficult for them to pass 5% barrier. If they could unite together, I think they could be a strong opposition for the majoring party.
But now this majority can dictate its opinion for all society. In my honest opinion, democracy doesn`t always mean that it`s necessary to have a lot of parties which will separate as fingers. Sometimes it`s good to have two strong arms for a good authority arm-wrestling.